<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Journal Publishing DTD v1.3 20210610//EN" "JATS-journalpublishing1-3.dtd">
<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">sibsutis</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Вестник СибГУТИ</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>The Herald of the Siberian State University of Telecommunications and Information Science</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1998-6920</issn><publisher><publisher-name>СибГУТИ</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.55648/1998-6920-2023-17-2-44-50</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">sibsutis-570</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>Статьи</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Обзор методов прогнозирования сетевых аномалий</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Overview of the Methods for Predicting Network Anomalies</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0009-0003-2599-8989</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Лизнев</surname><given-names>Д. С.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Liznev</surname><given-names>D. S.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Лизнев Денис Сергеевич, аспирант</p><p>630102, Новосибирск, ул. Кирова, 86</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Denis S. Liznev, Postgraduate student</p><p> </p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">liznev.denis@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Сибирский гос. унив. телекоммуникаций и информатики (СибГУТИ)</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Siberian State University of Telecommunications and Information Science (SibSUTIS)</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2023</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>02</day><month>04</month><year>2023</year></pub-date><volume>17</volume><issue>2</issue><fpage>44</fpage><lpage>50</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Лизнев Д.С., 2023</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2023</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Лизнев Д.С.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Liznev D.S.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://vestnik.sibsutis.ru/jour/article/view/570">https://vestnik.sibsutis.ru/jour/article/view/570</self-uri><abstract><p>В работе проведен анализ методов прогнозирования сетевых аномалий.  На примере реальных статистических данных показаны этапы настройки моделей прогнозирования.  Показано влияние DDoS-атаки на энтропию IP-адресов назначения.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>In this paper, the methods of predicting network anomalies are analyzed. Using the example of real statistical data, the stages of setting up forecasting models are shown. The effect of a DDoS attack on the destination IP-addresses’ entropy is shown.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>модель экспоненциального сглаживания</kwd><kwd>авторегрессионная модель</kwd><kwd>энтропия</kwd><kwd>сетевые атаки</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>exponential smoothing model</kwd><kwd>autoregressive model</kwd><kwd>entropy</kwd><kwd>network attacks</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">ГОСТ Р 53114-2008. Обеспечение информационной безопасности в организации [Электронный ресурс]. URL: https://docs.cntd.ru/document/1200075565 (дата обращения: 22.11.2022).</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">GOST R 53114-2008. Obespechenie informacionnoj bezopasnosti v organizacii [Information security provision in organization], available at: https://docs.cntd.ru/document/1200075565 (accessed 22.11.2022).</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit2"><label>2</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Лаборатория Касперского. Отчеты [Электронный ресурс] URL: https://www.kaspersky.ru/enterprise-security/resources (дата обращения: 22.11.2022).</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Laboratoriya Kasperskogo. Otchety [DDoS reports], available at: https://www.kaspersky.ru/enterprise-security/resources (accessed 22.11.2022).</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit3"><label>3</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Positive Technologies. Аналитика [Электронный ресурс] URL: https://www.ptsecurity.com/ruru/research/analytics/ (дата обращения 22.11.2022).</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Positive Technologies. Analitika [Analytics], available at: https://www.ptsecurity.com/ruru/research/analytics/ (accessed 22.11.2022)</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit4"><label>4</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Методы защиты от DDOS нападений [Электронный ресурс]. URL: http://www.securitylab.ru/analytics/216251.php (дата обращения: 22.11.2022).</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Metody zashchity ot DDOS napadenij [Methods of protection against DDOS attacks], available at: http://www.securitylab.ru/analytics/216251.php (accessed 22.11.2022)</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit5"><label>5</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Shanshan Yu, Jicheng Zhang, Ju Liu, Xiaoqing Zhang, Yafeng Li, Tianfeng Xu. A cooperative DDoS attack detection scheme based on entropy and ensemble learning in SDN [Электронный ресурс]. URL: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/348891807 (дата обращения: 22.11.2022).</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Shanshan Yu, Jicheng Zhang, Ju Liu, Xiaoqing Zhang, Yafeng Li, Tianfeng Xu. A cooperative DDoS attack detection scheme based on entropy and ensemble learning in SDN, available at: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/348891807 (accessed 22.11.2022)</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit6"><label>6</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Jung Woo Seo, Sangjin Lee. A study on efficient detection of_network-based IP spoofing DDoS and malware-infected Systems [Электронный ресурс]. URL: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/309467794 (дата обращения: 22.11.2022)</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Jung Woo Seo, Sangjin Lee. A study on efficient detection of_network-based IP spoofing DDoS and malware-infected Systems, available at: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/309467794 (accessed 22.11.2022)</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit7"><label>7</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">The NSL-KDD Data Set. [Электронный ресурс]. URL: https://www.unb.ca/cic/datasets/nsl.html (дата обращения 22.11.2022).</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">The NSL‐KDD Data Set, available at: https://www.unb.ca/cic/datasets/nsl.html (accessed 22.11.2022)</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit8"><label>8</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Афанасьев В. Н. Анализ временных рядов и прогнозирование: учебник. Саратов: Ай Пи Ар Медиа, Оренбург: Оренбургский гос. ун-т, 2020. 286 с.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Afanas'ev V. N. Analiz vremennyh ryadov i prognozirovanie [Time series analysis and forecasting]: Saratov, Aj Pi Ar Media, Orenburg, Orenburgskij gos. un-t, 2020. 286 p.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref></ref-list><fn-group><fn fn-type="conflict"><p>The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.</p></fn></fn-group></back></article>
