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Bayesian Approach for Numerical Calculation of the Risk of Medical Evacuation by Vehicles

https://doi.org/10.55648/1998-6920-2023-17-1-18-32

Abstract

An original logical-probabilistic method for calculating the risk of critical patients’ medical evacuation by vehicles is proposed. A comprehensive estimation of road conditions and risk factors for transporting an intensive care patient as well as the calculation of a formal quantitative measure of transportation risk by the Bayesian inference method is considered. An effective instrument for estimating transportation risks for management decision making is developed.

About the Authors

D. A. Demchuk
LLC "Lanit technology"
Russian Federation

Dmitry А. Demchuk, Engineer

Barnaul



K. A. Demchuk
State County Budget Organization for Health
Russian Federation

Konstantin А. Demchuk, Anesthesiologist-resuscitator of the department of anesthesiology and resuscitation №2 cardiological dispensary of Altai region

Barnaul



Yu. V. Shevtsova
Siberian State University of Telecommunications and Information Science (SibSUTIS)

Yuliya V. Shevtsova, Cand. of Sci. (Engineering), Assistant professor

Novosibirsk

Scopus AuthorID: 56418422800

ResearcherID: ABG-4620-2020



A. N. Poletaikin
Siberian State University of Telecommunications and Information Science (SibSUTIS); Kuban State University
Russian Federation

Aleksey N. Poletaikin, Cand. of Sci. (Engineering), Assistant professor

Krasnodar

Novosibirsk

Scopus AuthorID: 57213829361

ResearcherID: ABF-6799-2020



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For citations:


Demchuk D.A., Demchuk K.A., Shevtsova Yu.V., Poletaikin A.N. Bayesian Approach for Numerical Calculation of the Risk of Medical Evacuation by Vehicles. The Herald of the Siberian State University of Telecommunications and Information Science. 2023;17(1):18-32. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.55648/1998-6920-2023-17-1-18-32

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ISSN 1998-6920 (Print)